Sunday, December 25, 2011

Evolutionist: You’re Misrepresenting Natural Selection

How could the most complex designs in the universe arise all by themselves? How could biology’s myriad wonders be fueled by random events such as mutations?

Sometimes evolutionists try to explain this by saying that mutations aren’t really random and that any such characterization is a strawman. After all, it seems that mutations do not occur at the same rate in different parts of the genome, or in different conditions, and so forth. Their point is that mutations are not at all random. Well that may be true, but this is just a canard because according to evolution the mutations are random with respect to what counts: the miraculous designs of biology.

So evolutionists are having it both ways. On the one hand they reject any teleology. The biological variation must not anticipate the miracles to come and so mutations must not be biased toward such designs. The mutations must be random, with respect to design. Any non randomness that mutations may exhibit is, therefore, inconsequential to the problem of how such mutations could work wonders.

But when their doctrine is repeated back to them, evolutionists sometimes offer this rebuttal that the mutations are not random. They are having it both ways.

Other evolutionists do not make this fallacy. They agree that concerning the problem of how evolution could come up with its many designs, the biological variation that is needed must be random. Instead, they offer up another, more subtle, fallacy.

These evolutionists say that while the mutations are random, the whole complaint that such randomness is not likely to have created all of biology’s wonders is misguided. It is misguided, they say, because evolution on the whole is not at all random. Yes the mutations are random, but there is a very non random filter imposed called natural selection. Selection effectively “takes” the winners from the pool of available mutations and “rejects” the losers. So with only the good mutations being preserved, you have very non random biological change occurring.

Any criticism of evolution that misses this crucial fact is yet another strawman. As one evolution told me:

Natural selection not only helps, it's an integral and essential part of the iterative process of evolution. "Killing off" the bad designs and letting the ones that work survive to pass on their heritable traits is critical to how the whole process works.

I know it's been pointed out a hundred times:

Random genetic variations by themselves don't produce the evolution of new traits. Selection by itself doesn't produce the evolution of new traits. But the iterative process combining both variation and selection (along with the heritable traits) can and does produce amazing new features.

I know you know it too, which is why your posting that sort of rancid garbage in the OP reflects so poorly on your character.

It is true, as this evolutionist states, that evolutionary theory holds that it is a combination of variation + selection that results in new designs. And is true that, according to evolutionary theory, the result would be non random.

But all of this misses the point. Remember, the problem at hand is that evolution says random events are the fuel for incredible designs. How could that be? The evolutionists response, that selection filters out the useless random events, doesn’t help.

Of course that is what evolution envisions. The question still stands, for no one was ever counting on the useless mutations to help out.

Evolutionists erroneously think they are resolving the problem by pointing out the role of selection. In fact, they are simply restating the problem. Of course selection weeds out the bad mutations. So what?

In fact, this simply reinforces the problem, for selection is powerless to help guide those useless mutations. It just weeds them out, and we are left with nothing.

Imagine gamblers losing at roulette. The problem is the roulette wheel has a great many numbers and so a bet is unlikely to win. With evolution, the problem is greatly compounded. Instead of the traditional two dimensional roulette wheel the casinos have, evolution’s roulette wheel is in an astronomical number of dimensions. And in multi dimensional space, those rare winning numbers become far, far less likely.

The point here is that natural selection does not help solve the ridiculous claim that the universe’s most complex designs just happen to happen. This is simply an astronomically unlikely scenario. Random events are simply not likely to create profoundly complex, intricate, detailed designs. Evolution’s natural selection does nothing to change this.

Think of it this way. Every single mutation and the like that produced the giraffe had to occur by itself. They were not coaxed by natural selection. Indeed, quite the opposite, natural selection merely weeds out the losers. Quite literally, the giraffe must have been created by a long series of random events. From a scientific perspective it would be difficult to imagine a more absurd proposition.

That is what happens when religion drives science.

771 comments:

  1. Cornelius,

    Your critique is misguided. It can be applied equally badly to a Monte Carlo process.

    Take an Ising ferromagnet with N spins. Each spin can point up and down, so there are a total of 2^N possible states of the magnet. It will take a very long time (roughly 2^N steps) to find the ground state (all spins up or all spins down) by random search. However, a Monte Carlo simulation, which relies on random moves and on positive feedback, gets to a ground state in a time of order N.

    By your logic, this is not possible. After all, it's just random walk plus some feedback. What's wrong with your logic? Here is a hint. Both a Monte Carlo process and nature use random steps, but they do not start from scratch. I'll let you figure it out. Someone with a PhD in biophysics ought to be able to figure it out.

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  2. Cornelius,

    I'll directly ask you, yet again, how do you explain our relatively recent and rapid increase in the creation of knowledge?

    Is it magic? Did God just decide we should start creating knowledge, and therefore we did? How do you explain it?

    I'm asking because the underlying explanation behind evolutionary theory is that genetic variation and natural selection is a form of conjecture and refutation, which is a variation on our explanation as to how we, as people, create knowledge.

    The key difference being that the natural mechanisms of evolutionary processes cannot create explanations as we can. As such, they cannot use explanations as a criteria for what conjectures they should test.

    What's particularly interesting is your out right refusal to even acknowledge this entire explanation, let alone present any sort of comprehensive or criticism. Rather, you merely keep repeating the same claim you present in your OP.

    Where does this break down? Where is your explanation for how we create knowledge? Surely, if this comment is irrelevant, you should have not problem pointing out why, in detail, right?

    Is the answer yet another variation of "God did it?" Are you worried it can't withstand the light of day?

    It seems you've yet again intentionally and conveniently failed to disclose assumptions that your target audience is likely to hold, as a means of shielding them from criticism.

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  3. Merry Christmas Cornelius, and thank you for the recent flurry of posts.

    And thank out for the humour generated by your critics. To hear the same mindless dribble spuing from the commenatry on every posts can only cause the deepest ironic humour. To read your critics even assume that they are in your league is laughable. I never need to turn on the comedy channel after reading a few of your critics postings.

    And have a happy new year.

    .

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  4. Cornelius,

    ...for selection is powerless to help guide those useless mutations. It just weeds them out, and we are left with nothing.

    And as all ID supporters know, there are only bad mutations.

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  5. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  6. Cornelius Hunter said...

    Evolutionists erroneously think they are resolving the problem by pointing out the role of selection. In fact, they are simply restating the problem. Of course selection weeds out the bad mutations. So what?

    In fact, this simply reinforces the problem, for selection is powerless to help guide those useless mutations. It just weeds them out, and we are left with nothing.


    The 'so what' part is that you deliberately left out the effect of heritability. The part that acts to maintain the neutral and accumulate the favorable genetic changes for use as a baseline in each subsequent generation. That's what we are left with CH, and again you know it.

    You really should be ashamed of yourself for such a blatant misrepresentation of the actual process. But I guess your love of the DI's money is stronger than your moral principles.

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  7. Folks:

    Your critique is misguided. It can be applied equally badly to a Monte Carlo process.

    Take an Ising ferromagnet with N spins. Each spin can point up and down, so there are a total of 2^N possible states of the magnet. It will take a very long time (roughly 2^N steps) to find the ground state (all spins up or all spins down) by random search. However, a Monte Carlo simulation, which relies on random moves and on positive feedback, gets to a ground state in a time of order N.

    ---

    The 'so what' part is that you deliberately left out the effect of heritability. The part that acts to maintain the neutral and accumulate the favorable genetic changes for use as a baseline in each subsequent generation. That's what we are left with CH, and again you know it.

    You really should be ashamed of yourself for such a blatant misrepresentation of the actual process. But I guess your love of the DI's money is stronger than your moral principles.


    To any and all who have questioned the wisdom of allowing evolutionists to vent fully, I trust you now understand. Even more precious than evolution itself are the responses of evolutionists desperately trying to close the curtain. Once the pseudo scientific descriptions are parsed and the theory is exposed for what it is, for all to see, then it’s all downhill as evolutionists scurry to provide themselves cover.

    The utter failure of evolution to back up its ridiculous claims that everything just spontaneously arose all by itself, leads to even more ridiculous cover. We’re supposed to slap our foreheads and exclaim “Oh, my, Ising ferromagnets, Monte Carlo simulations with positive feedback, and heritability! How could we have missed those?! Of course the entire biological world just happened to arise via random events. It’s so obvious.”

    Please don’t miss this. The response of evolutionists (and these responses above are by no means the most absurd) are far more telling than the theory itself, if that were possible.

    But don’t think I’m reveling in any of this. I’m no smarter, better or wiser than the poor evolutionists. It’s just that in this particular case, I’m not the one pushing the rock up the hill over and over.

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  8. "but selection makes the process non random" = methinks it is like a weasel.

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  9. Even more precious than evolution itself are the responses of evolutionists desperately trying to close the curtain.

    It's easy to sneer at a critic. It's more difficult to address the argument.

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  10. ...for selection is powerless to help guide those useless mutations. It just weeds them out, and we are left with nothing.

    There are three components that are absolutely required if evolution is to work: Replication, Variation, and Selection. Creationists like CH look at each one in isolation and declare that since it can't do X then evolution can't work. Of course the fact that one of the other components is perfectly capable of doing X is immaterial to them.

    The most common example of this is the creationist canard that Natural Selection is incapable of generating new information, it can only weed out bad information. Never mind of course that mutation is in fact capable of generating new information. But, comes the retort, mutation generates both good and bad information, and since it can't weed out the bad information it would eventually lead to so much bad stuff that evolution couldn't possibly work. Never mind of course that Natural Selection is in fact capable of weeding out that bad information.

    Until now I never really knew how Replication fit into this process of misrepresentation by isolation. Now thanks to the above statement I think I see it. As far as CH is concerned Natural Selection can only weed out information, it cannot replace it. Eventually there would be nothing left meaning that evolution can't work. Never mind of course that Replication is in fact capable of replacing the lost bad information with more copies of the good (or at least neutral) information.

    Lets say we have a population of 100 creatures. In each generation 1 gets a fatal mutation, 1 gets a helpful mutation, and the rest get nothing or neutral mutations. As far as CH is concerned, after 100 generations the entire population has gone extinct because no matter how good the helpful mutation was, the population as a whole lost 1 creature every generation until nothing was left.

    I'll leave it to the reader to determine what exactly is wrong with that scenario.

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  11. We’re supposed to slap our foreheads and exclaim "Oh, my, Ising ferromagnets, Monte Carlo simulations with positive feedback, and heritability! How could we have missed those?! Of course the entire biological world just happened to arise via random events. It's so obvious."

    Translation: "I have no idea what any of that means, therefore it must be just nonsense that I can ignore."

    I don't think CH himself actually thinks that. I'm pretty sure he actually has quite a good idea of what that all means. Instead I think his response is specifically intended a way of inoculating his less educated followers against the logic of the original statement. It all sounds a bit...um...sciency and strange, so why not play off that and pretend that unfamiliar words and concepts are unfamiliar because they're actually just unrelated to the subject at hand.

    He's providing a guide post for those who wish to remain ignorant.

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  12. H'mm:

    Quite so, John.

    The differential reproductive success selection part is a culler-out, not a creator of info, which is thus left to some variety or another of blind, uncorrelated, chance based variation.

    So, we are back to hill climbing in the general sense, WITHIN an island of function in a much larger space of configurations.

    Darwinian and similar mechanisms may explain moving to niches in such an island of function, but they do not explain getting to deeply isolated islands in vast config spaces. (And, the just linked explains why complex, multipart specific function naturally leads to islands of function as the likely pattern.)

    KF

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  13. F/N: Monte Carlo. Let's roll the tape from Wiki:

    >>Monte Carlo methods vary, but tend to follow a particular pattern:

    1: Define a domain of possible inputs.
    2: Generate inputs randomly from a probability distribution over the domain.
    3: Perform a deterministic computation on the inputs.
    4: the results.

    For example, consider a circle inscribed in a unit square. Given that the circle and the square have a ratio of areas that is π/4, the value of π can be approximated using a Monte Carlo method:[4]

    1: Draw a square on the ground, then inscribe a circle within it.
    2: Uniformly scatter some objects of uniform size (grains of rice or sand) over the square.
    3: Count the number of objects inside the circle and the total number of objects.
    4: The ratio of the two counts is an estimate of the ratio of the two areas, which is π/4. Multiply the result by 4 to estimate π.

    In this procedure the domain of inputs is the square that circumscribes our circle. We generate random inputs by scattering grains over the square then perform a computation on each input (test whether it falls within the circle). Finally, we aggregate the results to obtain our final result, the approximation of π. >>

    Notice, how critically the methods depend on defining a domain of search that is feasible for accessible resources.

    The point of the issue over functionally specific complex organisation and associated info [FSCO/I for short] is that the complexity involved in getting to initial function -- landing on the beach of an island of function -- moves us beyond solar system [500 bits] or observed cosmos [1,000 bits] scope resources.

    That which may explain adaptation of an existing function is not at all the same as that which gets us to the beach to begin with.

    Just for record. KF

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  14. Good post, Dr Hunter.


    Evolutionists deny that ToE is a theory of dumb luck...because, hey, it sounds stupid....but, as you were hinting at in your post, Natural selection is just a term that essentially means survival of the luckiest: No matter what variant arises, dumb luck wins. Natural selection creates nothing; it just eliminates some of the dumb luck in a population. What's left over is whatever dumb luck NS did not filter out.......thus, everything we see today is a result of -- dumb luck.

    Evos know this -- they just feel the need to lie about it so they can get more converts.

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  15. Cornelius Hunter said...

    The utter failure of evolution to back up its ridiculous claims that everything just spontaneously arose all by itself, leads to even more ridiculous cover. We’re supposed to slap our foreheads and exclaim “Oh, my, Ising ferromagnets, Monte Carlo simulations with positive feedback, and heritability! How could we have missed those?! Of course the entire biological world just happened to arise via random events. It’s so obvious.”


    Hey CH, you were so busy blustering out the empty rhetoric to the IDiot peanut gallery that you completely forgot to address the salient points.

    Where is the heritability in your strawman model?

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  16. Hunter: We’re supposed to slap our foreheads and exclaim “Oh, my, Ising ferromagnets, Monte Carlo simulations with positive feedback, and heritability! How could we have missed those?! Of course the entire biological world just happened to arise via random events. It’s so obvious.”

    You missed the point, Cornelius. Deliberately or otherwise, but miss the point you did. Your criticism of the role of natural selection boils down to ridicule:

    The point here is that natural selection does not help solve the ridiculous claim that the universe’s most complex designs just happen to happen. This is simply an astronomically unlikely scenario. Random events are simply not likely to create profoundly complex, intricate, detailed designs. Evolution’s natural selection does nothing to change this.

    You can apply the same type of criticism to a Monte Carlo simulation, and it will look equally impressive to the nonspecialist, but it would be equally silly. A Monte Carlo algorithm also couples random steps with feedback. In the absence of feedback, the random process will take an exponentially long time to reach a state with the lowest energy. Feedback changes that time to algebraic in the number of particles. The reason of course is that the process of climbing down the energy landscape proceeds mostly downhill in the presence of feedback. The random steps are no longer blind. And most importantly, they don't start from scratch every time.

    The same ideas apply to natural selection. You are absolutely right that we don't have a complete picture of the process. However, we have seen that point mutations coupled with selection do lead the system uphill in functionality landscape (we discussed that paper here, didn't we?). You may not get all the way to the top with point mutations alone, but that bug/feature is also known in Monte Carlo simulations. Nonlocal moves and landscape changes help the system get out from local maxima. You could engage these arguments, but you don't. That is probably fine with your intended audience.

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  17. Gordon E. Mullings of Monserrat said...

    The point of the issue over functionally specific complex organisation and associated info [FSCO/I for short] is that the complexity involved in getting to initial function -- landing on the beach of an island of function -- moves us beyond solar system [500 bits] or observed cosmos [1,000 bits] scope resources.


    Gordon, where did the Intelligent Designer get all the "dFSCO/I" information to put into his biological designs in the first place?

    What's the dFSCO/I of a goldfish?

    Does the dFSCO/I of the goldfish change when it dies? If so, where does the dFSCO/I go?

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  18. CH -

    But all of this misses the point. Remember, the problem at hand is that evolution says random events are the fuel for incredible designs. How could that be? The evolutionists response, that selection filters out the useless random events, doesn’t help.

    Yes it does. It is the salient point.

    selection is powerless to help guide those useless mutations. It just weeds them out, and we are left with nothing.

    No we aren't.

    'Random' mutations can be good or bad. Natural selection weeds out the bad mutations so that what we are 'left with' are the good ones. These accumulate and the gene pool gets fitter.

    This is not a difficult concept. It's the same as 'toss a hundred coins, remove the tails, and what you have left are the heads.' I cannot understand why you are having difficulty grasping this.

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  19. Thorton:

    I happened to pass back, while doing some PC security maintenance.

    I guess I should first thank you for letting us all know beyond doubt your irresponsibility and the level of the amorality - nihilism problem faced by evolutionary materialist atheists. (That's what Plato warned against 2350 years ago, with Alcibiades as exhibit no 1; and you have confirmed that such is still all too relevant. As he put it, such are led to imagine that "the highest right is might" and resort to irresponsible faction tactics. As you just did.)

    For, I see you cannot resist trying to harm me through attempted outing tactics, KNOWING that I have pointed out why though my identity and contact are available, they are to be used responsibly, not tossed out for every spammer or would be stalker.

    You just joined the circle of those who threatened my family.

    Sadly revealing.

    You also seem to imagine that we don't know where intelligences get the ability to do intelligent things from. Just ask yourself, where you got the intelligence from that enabled you to post snide comments here, and why you did not have to struggle with random walks across vast config spaces to do it.

    If your point was "who designed the designer," that is a red herring, as we can know that your post, though full of malice, is an intelligent artifact from its dFSCI. In addition, you probably need to study up on the difference between contingent and necessary beings and why an observed credibly contingent cosmos points beyond itself to a necessary being as its causal root. In that context, our fine tuned cosmos, even through a multiverse speculation, strongly points to being an artifact of design, and also in the end to such a NB as its designer.

    As for your goldfish, it is plainly well beyond 100 mn bits of info, from its DNA. (The smallest known vertebrate genome is 385 million bases, a puffer fish.) That is of course orders of magnitude beyond the 1000 bits threshold, and indicates that the Goldfish's body plan [i.e. the Carp's body plan] is best explained as designed.

    You know as well as I that if a goldfish has descendants, its functional organisation and associated information are passed on to the next generation. Its own body, after death, obviously, becomes functionally disorganised through the normal processes of decay, which are strongly linked to entropy.

    All of that is fairly obvious.

    For record.

    Good day,

    KF

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  20. Ritchie:

    I just looked back at my comment just now and saw yours.

    Just a footnote.

    The problem is not to move around incrementally within an island of function, but to get to the shores of such islands, as manifest in major body plans.

    The headlining of adaptations of body plans has led a lot of people into an unjustifiable extrapolation from a context where we have a functioning system that can vary [i.e. we are within an island of function] like circumpolar gulls, and the challenge of first getting to such a functional system [e.g. getting to birds, in light of special breathing system, flight mechanisms, etc].

    This starts with origin of life and body-plan origin events such as the Cambrian life revolution, or the origin of the human language ability, etc. (Notice, how sketchy the literature gets when we ask, just how did a body plan level change happen, in terms of a functional, generation by generation sequence of adaptations with empirical, observed evidence to back it up in details. For instance contrast the headlined whale sequence and the sort of estimated 50,000 + mods that would be required.)

    Here is a remark-cluster by Gould on the general problem, in his The Structure of Evolutionary Theory, 2002:

    >> . . . long term stasis following geologically abrupt origin of most fossil morphospecies, has always been recognized by professional paleontologists. [[p. 752.]

    . . . . The great majority of species do not show any appreciable evolutionary change at all. These species appear in the section [[first occurrence] without obvious ancestors in the underlying beds, are stable once established and disappear higher up without leaving any descendants." [[p. 753.]

    . . . . proclamations for the supposed ‘truth’ of gradualism - asserted against every working paleontologist’s knowledge of its rarity - emerged largely from such a restriction of attention to exceedingly rare cases under the false belief that they alone provided a record of evolution at all! The falsification of most ‘textbook classics’ upon restudy only accentuates the fallacy of the ‘case study’ method and its root in prior expectation rather than objective reading of the fossil record. [[p. 773.] >>

    [Onlookers, cf here for more from SJG, and the clips from the NYRB review by Tim Flannery. The above is NOT "quote mined," regardless of the sort of rebuttal attempts you will predictably see in this thread or elsewhere. Just follow the links. Note especially the quote that begins "The extreme rarity of transitional forms in the fossil record persists as the trade secret of paleontology. The evolutionary trees that adorn our textbooks have data only at the tips and nodes of their branches; the rest is inference, however reasonable, not the evidence of fossils. Yet Darwin was so wedded to gradualism that he wagered his entire theory on a denial of this literal record . . . Paleontologists have paid an exorbitant price for Darwin's argument. We fancy ourselves as the only true students of life's history, yet to preserve our favored account of evolution by natural selection we view our data as so bad that we never see the very process we profess to study." [[Stephen Jay Gould 'Evolution's erratic pace'. Natural History, vol. LXXXVI95), May 1977, p.14.]]

    I hope that will at least help some to think again.

    Good day.

    GEM of TKI

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  21. Natural Selection is reducible to random, arbitrary laws produced by the latest "design-denying" fad in cosmology--the multiverse. If all of this randomness is actually how things occur, then all of the above comments are meaningless, the OP is meaningless, and my comment is meaningless. Oh the despair! I think I'm gonna go kick a cat. Merry Christmas.

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  22. GEM -

    The problem is not to move around incrementally within an island of function, but to get to the shores of such islands, as manifest in major body plans.

    And that is the effect natural selection will produce. Since only beneficial mutations persist and are passed on, the gene pool as a whole progresses towards increased fitness.

    As for all the quotes from Gould, what do you think you are showing? Gould was no evolution-skeptic. He was one of it's most iconic champions - one of the leading biologists of our time. You are quoting someone who absolutely accepted evolution. Does that not tell you that you perhaps do not fully understand what he is saying?

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  23. CH:

    To any and all who have questioned the wisdom of allowing evolutionists to vent fully, I trust you now understand.

    Well, since this is likely directed at me, let me just say that I now understand your motives; although I might now entirely agree.

    Clearly, many of the responses to your post have either missed the logic altogether, or have not thought through the implications of their thought. And this stands for all to look upon, read, and figure out for themselves. Yes, the evolutionists flail about in their logic.

    But I guess where I disagree with you on this has to do with onlookers. If they aren't well-informed enough, or don't have the intellectual habits to see bad argumentation for what it is, then they can become confused.


    For example, "oleg" says:

    "However, a Monte Carlo simulation, which relies on random moves and on positive feedback, gets to a ground state in a time of order N" not realizing that the inclusion of positive feedback almost undoubtedly violates the supposed "non-random" character of the evolutionary process. But onlookers might not catch that point.


    And then there is Thorton, always providing more heat than light, who says:

    "The 'so what' part is that you deliberately left out the effect of heritability. The part that acts to maintain the neutral and accumulate the favorable genetic changes for use as a baseline in each subsequent generation. That's what we are left with CH, and again you know it."

    Not realizing that he's completely missed the upshot of what you've posted, he simply plows ahead, convinced that Darwinism must be right, and that you, CH, must be wrong.

    But, again, someone looking on might have a question: What is Thorton talking about? Is there something to this aspect of "heritability"?

    The answer, of course, is that evolutionary processes involve a tremendously large number of individual steps, each involving very high improbabilities, that can only be countered by extremely high numbers of "random events" if the next significant step in the evolutionary development is to take place, and that within this context "heritability" does NOTHING at all to avoid the quasi-infinite number of "random events" that are needed, but only insures that the entire process doesn't have to start all over again each time.

    So, I guess this is where I disagree. I think their efforts at obfuscation can sometimes work. But, of course, this calls for a prudential judgment on your part. Perhaps as Scripture says: "A word to the wise is sufficient."

    GEM:

    Thanks for the quotes from, and the link to, Gould's SoET.

    Merry Christmas.

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  24. Lino -

    ...within this context "heritability" does NOTHING at all to avoid the quasi-infinite number of "random events" that are needed, but only insures that the entire process doesn't have to start all over again each time.

    Utter rubbish.

    For one thing, there is no 'quasi-infinite' number of events needed for anything. This is merely you calling upon fantastical numbers to make evolution sound improbable when you actually have no idea of the numbers involved at all.

    This is the metaphor of mount improbable. It's not difficult. How can you have utterly failed to grasp it? The steep face represents complex and impressive features, seemingly insurmountable by a single step. The answer to reaching the peak is to take a large number of steps on a gradual incline. Heritability (to confuse the metaphor slightly) ensures that you never step backwards, that is, your next step will never lead you onto lower ground, only onto higher (or perhaps level). With such a failsafe, ascension, even to staggering heights, is inevitable.

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  25. GEM: You also seem to imagine that we don't know where intelligences get the ability to do intelligent things from.

    Then, perhaps you'll be the ID proponent that has an answer to the following question….

    How was the knowledge of how to build each species, as found in the genome, created?

    A being that "just was", complete with the knowledge of how to build each species, already present, serves no explanatory purpose. This is because one could more simply state that organisms, "just appeared", complete with the knowledge of how to build themselves, already present in their DNA.

    All you've done is push the problem into some unexplainable mind that supposedly exists in some unexplainable realm.

    GEM: Just ask yourself, where you got the intelligence from that enabled you to post snide comments here, and why you did not have to struggle with random walks across vast config spaces to do it.

    Please note, I'm not asking where this knowledge was previously *located*, I'm asking how it was created. Again, saying it was previously located here, rather than there, doesn't explain the origin of said knowledge. You've explained nothing.

    It's as if you're merely pushed the food around on your plate, then claimed you've ate it. Yet it's still sitting there, staring you in the face.

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  26. To say that evolution by natural selection is not based on random chance is exactly the same as claiming that since a casino is guaranteed by law to pay out when certain conditions are met, why then, there is no gambling going on inside.

    To claim that natural selection is a probability multiplier is to claim that monkeys at typewriters will reach something useful much quicker provided you periodically eliminate some substantial fraction of them. Ending up dead and not passing any genes whatsoever to act as the future basis of variation can hardly help matters. Natural Selection, aka death, can only be destructive, not constructive.

    All of this should be blindingly obvious to those not obviously blind.

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  27. Onlookers:

    Having now completed the security maintenance, I decided to pass back again.

    Sadly predictable.

    1: Ritchie, the point is that until you have a viable organism, you have no possibility of effective reproduction. That's why the question of arrival at body plans -- starting from OOL, the very first cell based C-chemistry aqueous medium life -- is so important. And of course, it needs noting that after coming on 60 years of serious trying now, the tree of life icon remains stubbornly rootless. And, as SJG highlighted in almost so many words, branch-less too.

    2: Scott: First, what we do know per adequate warrant should not ever be blocked by what we do not (yet -- or even may never) know. We know enough to know that we have empirically warranted and reliable signs of design as key causal factor, so we need to face the implications when they turn up in the digital code in life forms, and in the fine tuning of the cosmos that we observe that sets it up at a finely balanced operating point for C-chemistry, aqueous medium, cell based life, as was already linked above. So, since there's more than one way to skin a catfish, we should be willing to await results of nanotech investigations now in infancy before we start shooting off prematurely about just how designs of body plans could be made. As for species, that is too often a somewhat arbitrary level, within reach of adaptation as built into base body plans. Cf here how European Red Deer and North American Elk seem to be interfertile after being introduced into New Zealand.

    3: You also seem to be confused over what the inferred design of life and life forms implies, despite the fact that consistently since the first ID technical book, TMLO in 1884/5, it has been stressed that we may infer to design, but have no empirical warrant from the evidence in life forms, to conclude on such data alone, whether or not the relevant designer was within or beyond the cosmos. That tweredun is prior to trying to find out whodunit. And, as I have said elsewhere, life on earth -- what we observe -- could in principle be sufficiently explained on a molecular nanotech lab several generations beyond where Venter et al have reached. (we will probably do much the same within the next 50 - 100 years, if we don't blow up ourselves in the meanwhile. I do confess that my own interest lies at a different level: macro level, self replicating universal assembly machines coupled to an open source, modular industrial civilisation 2.0 suitable for de-urbanisastion, small islands and onward solar system colonialisation.)

    [ . . . ]

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  28. 4: FYI, the level of ID that does point to a designer beyond the cosmos, is the evident design of our observed cosmos. And, that has been put on the table ever since Plato's The Laws Bk X, and it appears again in say Newton's General Scholium to Principia. The evidence of a finitely remote origin and fine tuning jointly point to the same, in our day, even through a multiverse speculation.

    5: I note a silly turnabout attempt, which does not reckon seriously with the sort of vicious outing tactics and threats that have been made against members of my family. You, too, have managed to show to the world the fundamental amoral irresponsibility of evolutionary materialist atheists.

    6: As for where does knowledge come from, the answer to that is the same as the answer to where reasoning and knowing minds come from. One thing is sure, such is not credibly a product of chance variation and behaviourally-driven selection forces acting on configurations of matter that happen to be located in skulls, for many reasons.

    7: If you wonder what I am getting at on this cf this link in context (which has long since been easily accessible from me at IOSE, and elsewhere), and note especially Haldane's observation:

    >> "It seems to me immensely unlikely that mind is a mere by-product of matter. For if my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true. They may be sound chemically, but that does not make them sound logically. And hence I have no reason for supposing my brain to be composed of atoms." [["When I am dead," in Possible Worlds: And Other Essays [1927], Chatto and Windus: London, 1932, reprint, p.209.] >>

    8: Lino: welcome.

    G'day

    GEM of TKI

    ReplyDelete
  29. Matteo -

    Natural Selection, aka death, can only be destructive, not constructive.

    Nonsense! Talk to any farmer and they will tell you what can be achieved through the selection process. Every year, take the biggest pigs and allow them and only them to reproduce and, over time, the average size of a pig in your herd will increase.

    Or look at dog breeding. Look how many breeds a single species can be shaped into. Look how different they can be.

    Yes these results were achieved through artificial selection rather than natural selection, but the concept is exactly the same. Selection, be it artificial or natural, has shaped species in the wild as surely as it has shaped domesticated ones.

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  30. GEM -

    You have totally changed track. Now you are saying that until we solve abiogenesis then we cannot be sure about evolution. Which is absolute nonsense.

    Abiogenesis is a seperate, (though related) theory. The origin of the very first living thing bears no relation to the theory of evolution. The very first living thing might have been poofed into existence by a magic fairy (not totally dissimilar to the position you seem to be advocating, really) and that still would say nothing at all about whether life has developed from then on via evolution or not. Evolution only starts when the first living thing has emerged. So I'm afraid 'Where did the first living thing come from?' is no rebuttal to ToE at all.

    However, it is a sensible question. The only sensible response to which would be to try to find out. Run tests. Perform experiments. In short, do science. It would most certainly NOT be to cry 'Goddidit'. This is God of the Gaps thinking, and it is weak, illogical and frankly cowardly in the extreme.

    Now allow me to refer you back to my last question. You quoted Gould a lot. Does it bother you that he did not advocate ID? Does it bother you that he WAS an advocate for evolution? Does it bother you that what he was referring to in your quotes was punctuated equilibrium - a mechanism of evolution - NOT ID or any counter evolutionary theory? Doesn't any of this tell you you are misrepresenting him? Does any of this bother you at all?

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  31. GEM of Kariosflatus said...

    You just joined the circle of those who threatened my family.


    LOL! Your family are goldfish? Do you feed them every day, clean their tank, then it's down the loo when they croak?

    BTW Gordon, you forgot to tell us where the Intelligent Designer got his dFSCI information from. You sprayed bushels of meaningless unconnected words as you always do but you forgot to answer the question.

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  32. PaV Lino the sockpuppet said...

    The answer, of course, is that evolutionary processes involve a tremendously large number of individual steps, each involving very high improbabilities, that can only be countered by extremely high numbers of "random events" if the next significant step in the evolutionary development is to take place, and that within this context "heritability" does NOTHING at all to avoid the quasi-infinite number of "random events" that are needed, but only insures that the entire process doesn't have to start all over again each time.


    That's amazing PaV. After all this time and all the discussions you're still to stupid to grasp that having a specific outcome be improbable doesn't make having any outcome be improbable.

    You have added a new twist to your misunderstanding I see. You're also too stupid to get that heritability of traits means all the steps in the evolutionary process don't have to happen at once, they can accumulate slowly over time.

    Do you think you'll ever understand the basics of evolutionary theory even a little?

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  33. Ritchie and Thorton:

    Other than calling people names, do you have any way of buttressing your assertions with facts?


    It's hard to argue against invective. Is this the new scientific method to be employed?

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  34. PaV Lino the sockpuppet said...

    Ritchie and Thorton:

    Other than calling people names, do you have any way of buttressing your assertions with facts?

    It's hard to argue against invective. Is this the new scientific method to be employed?


    Er PaV, go look around the real world. There are literally millions of papers and articles from hundreds of different scientific disciplines supporting ToE. You've already seen some of them here. There are thousands of colleges and universities that teach the evidence for evolution at both the undergrad and graduate levels. There are thousands of natural history museums where you can see the evidence for yourself. There are thousands of medical and biotech companies that succeed in their business through use of the evolution paradigm.

    You're the guy who claims all that is somehow wrong and that you can replace ToE with a better idea. Onus is on you to support your position, not us to defend against your idiotic attacks. Why don't you try providing some positive evidence for IDC instead of just BSing and quote-mining papers that say the exact opposite of what you claim?

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  35. Ritchie said: "This is not a difficult concept. It's the same as 'toss a hundred coins, remove the tails, and what you have left are the heads.' I cannot understand why you are having difficulty grasping this."

    Your statement is just plain madness. How did the heads and tails get on the coin in the first place? And once they were there, it is a random act that determines which one faces up. Any elementary school child could grasp this. If NS then removes all the tails, the act of removing the tails comes after the random act, meaning, it is still random!!! Also, I would love for anyone posting here just to give me ONE example of an organism moving from a less complex state to a more complex state. One pathetic example I've heard is finch beaks. But a beak is a beak is a beak. And that is the long and short of that. Evolutionists love to look at simple examples of adaptation and exclaim the preposterous creative power. The micro level is where things fall apart. Why does one biological step that doesn't result and any functional difference until it reaches 50 steps persist. The point I think you are missing is how does it know to remove the undesireable trait when it doesn't yet know what it is to become??? And if the positive trait does appear, it appeared randomly before it could be selected.
    In the Ising ferromagnet example, where did the magnet come from? Why does it only point up or down? Does it land in the up or down positions randomly?

    Let's get back the issue at hand and use a more fitting example. A heard of brown moths are doing just fine in a wooded area impacted by drought for many years. Concealed on the brown plants they flourish. All of sudden, Al Gore monkeys with things and torrential rains blanket the wooded area. The plants turn green almost over night and the near sighted speckled finches now see brown moths all over the place. A moth feedy frenzy ensues and all the moths are eaten. But wait, a few moths survive!!! The moths with the "greenback" RANDOM mutation survive. Since the nearsighted finches are unable to locate them on a fly by. The god of natural selection creates!! But wait a second, where did the greenback moth come from?? Did the greenback mutation just happen? Is a greenback more complex than a brownback? Are white people more complex than black people??? Which came first? The chicken or the egg? If you can't anser those questions, please just answer this... was the moth color mutation random? I'm not sure how you return to the "miracle" of natural selection so easily or how you could ever say random forces aren't the only factor in your argument because without the randomly generated mutations, Natural Selection is simply a non-issue.

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  36. Thorton,

    If there are millions of examples of a live species moving from a less complex state to a more complex state, i.e., not a horizontal change but a vertical change, then please, instead of saying there are millions of examples, I would just be satisfied with just getting ONE example direct from YOU.

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  37. Nonsense! Talk to any farmer and they will tell you what can be achieved through the selection process. Every year, take the biggest pigs and allow them and only them to reproduce and, over time, the average size of a pig in your herd will increase.

    Or look at dog breeding. Look how many breeds a single species can be shaped into. Look how different they can be.

    Yes these results were achieved through artificial selection rather than natural selection, but the concept is exactly the same.


    Really? The intelligent intervention of a mind which selects based on an as-yet-unrealized future goal is exactly the same as that of unguided "Natural Selection"?

    How...interesting.

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  38. Ritchie said: "Nonsense! Talk to any farmer and they will tell you what can be achieved through the selection process. Every year, take the biggest pigs and allow them and only them to reproduce and, over time, the average size of a pig in your herd will increase.

    Or look at dog breeding. Look how many breeds a single species can be shaped into. Look how different they can be."

    Ritchie,

    Just how many generations of dog breeders do you think it would take to breed a German Shepherd into an elephant? I mean does an elephants trunk start out as a wart on the dogs nose? Okay, let's quit joking and say a piece of skin pops up on one of the dog's nose. Now we have to get on the internet and find some one else with a dog with a extra piece of skin on its nose. We fly the other dog in and breed them. Now we just have to wait around for a few more million years for the skin to mutate into a tube like structure. And then a few more million years for it to add some muscle so it can grasp a peanut. But wait a second!!! our dog breeder is looking for things that look like a trunk because he wants to wind up with a trunk in the end. What reason does the NS god have to keep the skin tag on the dog nose around???? Things that make you go "hmmmm".

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  39. Ultimate Reality said...

    If there are millions of examples of a live species moving from a less complex state to a more complex state, i.e., not a horizontal change but a vertical change, then please, instead of saying there are millions of examples, I would just be satisfied with just getting ONE example direct from YOU.


    Define what you mean by 'less complex state' and 'more complex state'. Define the difference between 'horizontal' and 'vertical' change. I never mentioned those terms, certainly nothing about 'millions of examples', and have no idea what you're blithering about.

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  40. Ultimate reality -

    Your statement is just plain madness.

    You think so because you do not understand it properly.

    How did the heads and tails get on the coin in the first place? And once they were there, it is a random act that determines which one faces up.

    That's why we call the mutations 'random'.

    It's really quite simple: individual creatures recombine and pass on their genes when they reproduce. Sometimes there are errors in this copying process and mutations occur. That's all mutations are - errors.

    Now ignoring that not all mutations have an effect (in fact, many don't) any effect a mutation has - that is, if it is 'expressed', will either have a beneficial or detrimental effect on the creature's ability to survive and reproduce. The ones with beneficial mutations will be more likely to survive and pass on their genes, and the ones with detrimental ones will be more likely to die off without having done so. This is natural selection - the filtering of bad mutations out of the gene pool.

    Also, I would love for anyone posting here just to give me ONE example of an organism moving from a less complex state to a more complex state.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E._coli_long-term_evolution_experiment

    The point I think you are missing is how does it know to remove the undesireable trait when it doesn't yet know what it is to become?

    Natural selection doesn't 'know' anything. You might as well ask how gravity 'knows' to pull a dropped object down.

    But wait a second, where did the greenback moth come from?? Did the greenback mutation just happen?

    Well in this (I imagine fictitious) scenario, not every moth is uniformally brown, is it? Some are better camouflaged than others, which is the survival issue, after all. Those who are slightly more greeny-brown will have an advantage over others, and thus a selection pressure is born.

    was the moth color mutation random?

    All mutations are random.

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  41. Matteo -

    Really? The intelligent intervention of a mind which selects based on an as-yet-unrealized future goal is exactly the same as that of unguided "Natural Selection"?

    How...interesting.


    Cute. And yes, that is why we call it 'artificial' selection.

    Darwin's great insight was merely that nature does this too! We can consciously select for traits, but in the wild, traits which help a species survive will thrive. That's all.

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  42. UR -

    Just how many generations of dog breeders do you think it would take to breed a German Shepherd into an elephant?

    You would never get an elephant.

    Dogs and elephants parted company genetically millions of years ago, and have been on their own seperate routes ever since.

    Okay, let's quit joking and say a piece of skin pops up on one of the dog's nose. Now we have to get on the internet and find some one else with a dog with a extra piece of skin on its nose. We fly the other dog in and breed them. Now we just have to wait around for a few more million years for the skin to mutate into a tube like structure. And then a few more million years for it to add some muscle so it can grasp a peanut. But wait a second!!! our dog breeder is looking for things that look like a trunk because he wants to wind up with a trunk in the end. What reason does the NS god have to keep the skin tag on the dog nose around???? Things that make you go "hmmmm".

    It might make you go 'hmmmm'. Actually, it might make me say the same thing, but not for the reasons you think...

    In answer to your question, firstly, a creature with a mutation does not need to find a partner with an identical mutation to breed with. A man with a genetic mutation for, say, red eyes, stands a good chance of passing this on even if the mother of his children has normal eyes.

    Secondly, you seem to assume NS has foresight. It does not. Darwin explain this quite clearly in Origin of the Species. Evolution takes gradual steps, and AT EVERY STEP, a feature needs to be useful or it will be eliminated by NS. So why would evolution favour a dog's nose getting longer if it served no function until it was long enough to reach the ground? All the intermediary steps would be useless.

    In the case of the elephant, it was not the trunk that grew until it reach the ground - it was merely the elephant that got tall. The trunk reached the ground - and therefore remained useful - the whole time.

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  43. Ultimate Reality said...

    Just how many generations of dog breeders do you think it would take to breed a German Shepherd into an elephant? I mean does an elephants trunk start out as a wart on the dogs nose? Okay, let's quit joking and say a piece of skin pops up on one of the dog's nose. Now we have to get on the internet and find some one else with a dog with a extra piece of skin on its nose. We fly the other dog in and breed them. Now we just have to wait around for a few more million years for the skin to mutate into a tube like structure. And then a few more million years for it to add some muscle so it can grasp a peanut. But wait a second!!! our dog breeder is looking for things that look like a trunk because he wants to wind up with a trunk in the end. What reason does the NS god have to keep the skin tag on the dog nose around???? Things that make you go "hmmmm".


    I'll bet you didn't know there are other extant species that have 'intermediate' prehensile snouts shorter and less mobile than an elephant's trunk.

    tapir nose

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  44. Lino -

    Other than calling people names, do you have any way of buttressing your assertions with facts?

    I apologise if you think my reply to you was rude. But I was trying to make you understand NS as a process. Please read over my post to you again. The point I made was sincere.

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  45. Venture Free:

    The most common example of this is the creationist canard that Natural Selection is incapable of generating new information, it can only weed out bad information.

    I know it sounds crazy, but that is your theory. No teleology allowed, remember? So this isn’t a “creationist canard,” it is merely your own absurdity being repeated back to you. At this point you are simply in denial of your own words.

    Here’s a gentle reminder of your theory. Random events cause biological change which sometimes luckily strikes gold and new wonders arise. During this process, natural selection (through the action of differential reproduction) filters out some of the random changes. Natural selection does not induce certain random events to happen. Evolutionary theory places a firewall between the two. The existence of a need does not induce the needed change to occur. Hence natural selection works on changes that have already happened, not about to happen.

    So natural selection does not cause the sequence of incredibly unlikely mutations, which will bring about a fantastic design to occur. Every single one of those mutations had to occur via a process that knew nothing of the need, of the fitness landscape, of design principles of biology, and so forth. Every single random event was just that, a random event, which somehow led to the giraffe and a million other designs.

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  46. GEM: : First, what we do know per adequate warrant should not ever be blocked by what we do not (yet -- or even may never) know.

    Yet, "until you have a viable organism, you have no possibility of effective reproduction"? Neo-darwinism isn't abiogenesis.

    GEM: We know enough to know that we have empirically warranted and reliable signs of design as key causal factor,

    Perhaps you could elaborate on what you mean by "adequate warrant"? I'm asking because no one has actually applied ID to anything concrete, in practice, in a rigorous, comprehensive way. Of course, feel free to provide such an example. Any example, in fact.

    Until then, it would seem you must be referring to some other means of justification.

    You wouldn't happen to be referring to divine revelation? Or perhaps, you mean that every time we've observed dFSCI being created, it was by an intelligent designer. Therefore all dFSCI requires an intelligent designer? But that's naive inductivism. For example, every time we've seen intelligence and intent, it was by a being that had a complex, material nervous system. Yet I'm guessing you do not think all intelligence and intent requires a complex, material nervous system.

    So, I'm at a loss as to what you mean by adequate warrant.

    GEM: 6: As for where does knowledge come from, the answer to that is the same as the answer to where reasoning and knowing minds come from.

    Which is a "sadly predictable" equivocation to the question I asked.

    Again, I'm not asking where knowledge was previously *located* before it found it's way into the genome. I'm asking how it was created. It seems you're having difficulty differentiating between the two.

    GEM: One thing is sure, [knowledge] is not credibly a product of chance variation and behaviourally-driven selection forces acting on configurations of matter that happen to be located in skulls, for many reasons.

    Then, by all means, please enlighten us. How was the knowledge of how to build each species created? What is your specific criticism to conjecture and refutation? You find it personally objectionable? A voice a whirl wind told you otherwise?

    Quote: It seems to me immensely unlikely that mind is a mere by-product of matter. For if my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true.

    First, this is merely an appeal to a particular level of reductivism.

    Second, the history of science justifies a conclusion that reality conforms to our intuitions and incredulities, how? Please be specific.

    Third, apparently, you think bad explanations (shallow and easily varied explanations) are true. However, If this is indeed the case, how do you explain our relatively recent and rapid increase in the creation of knowledge? Given that we estimate hominids with roughly the same brain structures as ours have existed for roughly 100,000 years, what made the difference between tens of thousands of years of stagnation and our recent, open ended, rapid increase in the creation of knowledge?

    Did God just decide one day that we should start creating knowledge, therefore we magically did?

    Again, I'd suggest that the difference is that we've shifted to prefer long chains of hard to vary explanations (good explanations). And we explain our success in that the truth about reality consists of hard to vary assertions about the physical world, which is, again, a good explanation, in that it's hard to vary.

    "God did it" is a bad explanation, which we discard.

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  47. Thorton:

    Hey CH, you were so busy blustering out the empty rhetoric to the IDiot peanut gallery that you completely forgot to address the salient points.

    Where is the heritability in your strawman model?


    Evolutionists have wrapped their theory with so much flowery terminology they’ve completely lost sight of what is really underneath the disguise. Like natural selection, heritability is not a magic elixir. Heritability does not magically induce the right mutations or other random events to occur. Mutations can be passed on to later generations, but heritability does not cause the right mutations to occur.

    Sorry but those random events have to create the giraffe all on their own.

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  48. Hunter: Like natural selection, heritability is not a magic elixir.

    No one says it is a magic elixir. It is a major component of biological evolution.

    Heritability does not magically induce the right mutations or other random events to occur.

    It does not. Heritability's role is different. It preserves the results previously achieved. That is part of the reason why evolution is not a random search.

    Sorry but those random events have to create the giraffe all on their own.

    Random mutations alone would take an exponentially long time to get to a functional genom sequence. Random mutations coupled with heritability and natural selection take a much shorter, algebraic time, to do the same. The vast difference in the required times explains why it is preposterous to dismiss heritability and natural selection as irrelevant.

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  49. oleg:

    You missed the point, Cornelius. Deliberately or otherwise, but miss the point you did. Your criticism of the role of natural selection boils down to ridicule:

    No, I’m not the one who missed the point. Nothing in your reasoning changes the fact that natural selection does not induce the right mutations, and that random events—which have no idea of biological principles, the current state of the biosphere, or a giraffe—alone must construct the giraffe, from beginning to end. Sure, I can crank out a simulation with my favorite assumptions, and in short order demonstrate that the human species could evolve in a reasonable time. Aside from the fact that such simulations have little correspondence with biological reality, even they retain the firewall between the random events and the selection.

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  50. Cornelius Hunter said...

    Evolutionists have wrapped their theory with so much flowery terminology they’ve completely lost sight of what is really underneath the disguise. Like natural selection, heritability is not a magic elixir. Heritability does not magically induce the right mutations or other random events to occur. Mutations can be passed on to later generations, but heritability does not cause the right mutations to occur.


    CH still following the standard Creationist stupid strawman script I see. Demanding that each individual piece of the process do the whole job.

    "random mutations can't create giraffes!"

    "natural selection can't create giraffes!"

    "heritable traits can't produce giraffes!"

    But never being honest enough to discuss the interaction of all three working in concert.

    Sorry but those random events have to create the giraffe all on their own.

    No CH, they don't. The iterative process of genetic variation filtered by selection and carrying forward heritable traits does, and has.

    Is the DI's paltry cash stipend worth selling out your integrity CH? How much did you get for it?

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  51. oleg:

    Random mutations alone would take an exponentially long time to get to a functional genome sequence. Random mutations coupled with heritability and natural selection take a much shorter, algebraic time, to do the same. The vast difference in the required times explains why it is preposterous to dismiss heritability and natural selection as irrelevant.

    You’re addressing the different question of the fitness landscape and the evolution path from fish to giraffe. Yes, of course, without selection acting at all, then evolution never gets anywhere except by hitting on most all of the right design parameters at once. Even evolutionists don’t envision that, and nowhere did I suggest such an idea.

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  52. Hunter: Nothing in your reasoning changes the fact that natural selection does not induce the right mutations, and that random events—which have no idea of biological principles, the current state of the biosphere, or a giraffe—alone must construct the giraffe, from beginning to end.

    That's patently wrong. Random mutations acting alone (no selection and no heritability) would have to start from scratch every time. Heritability means that the work of previous random mutations (selected for fitness) is preserved. New random mutations occur in an organism with high fitness.

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  53. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

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  54. oleg said...

    That's patently wrong. Random mutations acting alone (no selection and no heritability) would have to start from scratch every time. Heritability means that the work of previous random mutations (selected for fitness) is preserved. New random mutations occur in an organism with high fitness.


    CH knows that all very well. He's just feeding the IDiot sycophants their nightly does of Creationist strawman stupidity to keep them happy and clicking on his link.

    Not very intellectually honest but hey - if they were honest they wouldn't be Creationists.

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  55. Oleg:

    That's patently wrong. Random mutations acting alone (no selection and no heritability) would have to start from scratch every time. Heritability means that the work of previous random mutations (selected for fitness) is preserved. New random mutations occur in an organism with high fitness.

    Yes, agreed. And irrelevant. If there was no such thing as heritable changes, and if there was no such thing as selection, then yes, things would be much, much worse. But I’m not using such an unrealistic hypothetical as the point of reference.

    Imagine if you promoted a perpetual motion machine, and you thought the lightweight metal was particularly important. I criticized the machine, pointing out that the metal isn’t going to help create a perpetual motion machine. You then criticize my criticism because, after all, the metal holds the contraption together.

    So yes, the metal does serve a purpose, and it does help the machine from being a complete failure. But it doesn’t make it a perpetual motion machine.

    The difference is you believe that given heritable changes and selection, it’s all just as easy as a Monte Carlo simulation. You think that typically the fitness space is chocked full of nice smooth, gradually increasing slopes and pathways leading to millions and millions of species, so all you need are those random events to churn away, and pretty soon your turning out all kinds of biological designs. If that were true, then sure, evolution would be far more rational.

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  56. Ritchie said: "You would never get an elephant.
    Dogs and elephants parted company genetically millions of years ago, and have been on their own seperate routes ever since."

    How do you know when they parted company? All your theories are guesses. You can't say anything happened in the distant past with 100% confidence because you weren't there. I was obviously borrowing from Provines statement in the Stanford debate that given enough time, a dog could be become an elephant (what a joke). What your theory, which is devoid of all rational thinking, states is somehow that elephant came from a single cell organism (We won't get into how the single cell organism got there because your high priest Dawkins has already admitted he has no clue.) Don't you think I was giving you the benefit of the doubt giving you a headstart with the dog?

    "In answer to your question, firstly, a creature with a mutation does not need to find a partner with an identical mutation to breed with."

    Sorry. Haven't had a chance to finish reading Genetics For Dummies.

    "In the case of the elephant, it was not the trunk that grew until it reach the ground - it was merely the elephant that got tall."

    Again, next time you fire up the time machine I would like to go for a ride. There are absolutely no transitional fossils to support your argument. Well, that is, at least no examples that your materialist priest haven't filled in the blanks on with made up information like you are doing now. I'm mot falling for your assumptive language "Jedi mind trick".

    "Evolution takes gradual steps, and AT EVERY STEP, a feature needs to be useful or it will be eliminated by NS."

    You do know that materialist don't buy into this anymore right? Punctuated Equilibrium is the new theory because there is simply no fossil evidence to support Darwin's claim.

    Thorton said: "I'll bet you didn't know there are other extant species that have 'intermediate' prehensile snouts shorter and less mobile than an elephant's trunk."

    Well, yes I did. I saw an ardvark at the same zoo I saw the elephant at. This still doesn't answer the question as to how the complex structure evolves through all the millions of intermediate micro stages without being naturally selected out.

    Time is really the great god of the Darwinian myth. But really, how much time are we talking here. If we assume an extinction event with the dinosaurs, how much time have we really had for all these random, functional mutations to pop up out of nowhere.

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  57. kairosocus (gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat) insanely and dishonestly barfed:

    "As he put it, such are led to imagine that "the highest right is might" and resort to irresponsible faction tactics. As you just did.)

    For, I see you cannot resist trying to harm me through attempted outing tactics, KNOWING that I have pointed out why though my identity and contact are available, they are to be used responsibly, not tossed out for every spammer or would be stalker.

    You just joined the circle of those who threatened my family.

    Sadly revealing."

    ----------------------------

    Hey, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, I don't see any threat. Where is it? Maybe you can show it? And while you're at it, let's see you show where I and others have "threatened" your "family". You've accused me many times of threatening your family "Mafioso style", so let's see those alleged "Mafioso style" threats, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat.

    After all, I'd hate to think that you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, are a blatant, WILLFUL LIAR. A 'good christian' like you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, wouldn't stoop to blatantly, WILLFULLY LYING to falsely smear, insult, attack, demonize, and accuse innocent people, would you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat?

    Oh heck no, you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, a god fearing, bible believing, evangelical, fundamentalist, creationist, 'moral' man of god wouldn't even THINK of stooping to something so amoral, vicious, malicious, dishonest, false, UN-christian-like, and LOW. After all, you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, are the very image of the righteousness and morality of your perfect god, aren't you, and stooping to such things would only show that you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, are a malignantly narcisstic, sanctimonious, two-faced, corrupt, amoral, malicious, vicious, phony, mentally deranged, egotistical, psychotic, UN-christian-like, LYING LOWLIFE.

    Your pathetic "I'm a persecuted victim just like my imaginary hero jesus' act is not only old, but insane, dishonest, and contrived, and as far from reality as it's possible to be. You, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, are a thoroughly WILLFUL LIAR, and your christian comrades are just as dishonest for not reprimanding you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, for your despicable, 'evil' behavior.

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  58. Cornelius Hunter said...

    Imagine if you promoted a perpetual motion machine, and you thought the lightweight metal was particularly important. I criticized the machine, pointing out that the metal isn’t going to help create a perpetual motion machine. You then criticize my criticism because, after all, the metal holds the contraption together.


    Except no one is promoting a fantasy perpetual motion machine. We're calling you on your deliberate misrepresentation of an empirically observed multi-part process. Your continued refusal to honestly portray the process is an embarrassment to both you and your scientific credentials.

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  59. Thorton,

    You guys seem to lack prehensile brains on this topic. Random is random. What happens after doesn't change that.

    ReplyDelete
  60. Ultimate Reality said...

    Again, next time you fire up the time machine I would like to go for a ride. There are absolutely no transitional fossils to support your argument.


    Oh dear. Another Creationist long on rhetoric but woefully short on scientific knowledge:

    Elephant evolutionary history

    Maybe someday we'll get a creationist come by who researches before popping off. But not today.

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  61. Ultimate Reality said...

    Thorton, You guys seem to lack prehensile brains on this topic. Random is random. What happens after doesn't change that.


    OK then, let's play a game of poker. You get dealt 5 cards at random and have to keep them. I get dealt 5 cards, but I get to add selection and heritability. I get to discard and randomly redraw as many times as I want until I'm happy with my hand.

    Do you think we each have a 50-50 chance of winning? Since all our cards are random we should have the same chance, right?

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  62. Thorton,
    If you think calling me a creationists is a sensationl, original putdown that I have never heard before, well then, you would be even more ignorant than I initially thought. Last time I checked, this argument was related to intelligent design. Your assertion that all ID theorists are creationists is basically a prejudicial statement and akin to stating "all blacks live in public housing", especially since race and religion are given equal protection under federal law.

    And double wow!! You are foolish enough to think that a few chaps studied a fossil skull and determined it was similar enough to the modern day elephant that it MUST be his ancester. This is just typically of the "fill in the blank" and "it's fact because we think it is" so called science that makes up your religion.

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  63. OK then, let's play a game of poker. You get dealt 5 cards at random and have to keep them. I get dealt 5 cards, but I get to add selection and heritability. I get to discard and randomly redraw as many times as I want until I'm happy with my hand.

    Because nothing illustrates the power of NS like invoking poker-playing intelligent agents.

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  64. Thorton says: "OK then, let's play a game of poker. You get dealt 5 cards at random and have to keep them. I get dealt 5 cards, but I get to add selection and heritability. I get to discard and randomly redraw as many times as I want until I'm happy with my hand.

    Do you think we each have a 50-50 chance of winning? Since all our cards are random we should have the same chance, right?

    The probability of you winning has no bearing on this discussion. Both our hands were still random. But really, the biggest fallacy of your argument is "what is a winning hand?!?!?!" Do you only have one chance to discard? There would be no reason to hold on to a 2, 3, and 4 card unless you knew the next draw could result in the possible outcome of a straight!! Why can't you understand that??? By the way, do you know the definition of personification?

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  65. After reading several of the posts again, several have stated the fallacy that negative traits don't persist. My question for you is.. then how does "love" and homosexuality persist in homo sapien?? You see, the love neuron mutation should have been destroyed by NS millions of years ago. Think Tale of Two Cities. How could one man die and allow another man to propagate his dna in the dead man's place all for the sake of love? And surely the homosexual gene would have been done away with by natural selection millions of years ago as well since the last time I checked, the act of sodomy cannot result in reproduction of the species and therefore, dna of members of the species engaging in homosexual behaviour would not have survived.

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  66. Ultimate Reality said...

    Your assertion that all ID theorists are creationists is basically a prejudicial statement


    LOL at "ID theorists"! You have to have a theory before you can have a theorist UR. ID doesn't have a theory, it doesn't even have a testable hypothesis.

    And double wow!! You are foolish enough to think that a few chaps studied a fossil skull and determined it was similar enough to the modern day elephant that it MUST be his ancester.

    Double LOL! Sure UR, that's the way science is done. It's not thousands of scientists putting in millions of hours of peer reviewed research on morphologies and dentition and genetics. It's a couple of guys sitting around the bar having a few cold ones going "say Clyde, y'all recon that looks like an elephant?" "Yep Jim Bob, let's call it an "ancester"

    You've never been anywhere near a college level science classroom in your life, right?

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  67. Ultimate Reality said...

    The probability of you winning has no bearing on this discussion. Both our hands were still random.


    If both are hands are still random then why won't you bet me? I'll even limit myself to one discard and redraw per hand. $1000 buy in each, best of 100 hands, winner take all. Ready to put your money where your mouth is?

    Or are you now going to change your tune and agree that selection plus heritability does produce better results than just random draws alone?

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  68. Except for the science classes I had to take for my mechanical engineering degree from the Universtiy of Arizona, then no. The sad thing is that you equate universities as having cornered the market on science. I would encourage you to watch the movie Expelled so you can wake up to the reality of the "open thought" and their committment to embrace the hard questions that goes in our modern "educational" institutions(NOT!!!) of which I am guessing you are a brainwashed, biased product of. I do remember one basic thing I was taught in a lab class and that is you can't expect to perform a legitimate experiment if you think you already know what the outcome should be. When an experiment doesn't fit with your materialist religion, you just throw it out and start over right? I can just hear you right now "This data can't be right!! If this is right, then that means that someone or some thing designed this and that can't be right. We obviously made a mistake with the data."

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  69. Thorton, you seriously don't get it. Try reading this again.

    There would be no reason to hold on to a 2, 3, and 4 card unless you knew the next draw could result in the possible outcome of a straight!!

    Sure I will bet you. Then when we show our cards, I will just claim a 10, Jack, 3, 7, and Ace of different suits are a winning hand. Your irrelevant example assumes to know what the winning hand is before the selection takes place. Understand?

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  70. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  71. Ultimate Reality said...

    After reading several of the posts again, several have stated the fallacy that negative traits don't persist. My question for you is.. then how does "love" and homosexuality persist in homo sapien??


    Love and homosexuality aren't negative traits.

    And surely the homosexual gene would have been done away with by natural selection millions of years ago as well since the last time I checked, the act of sodomy cannot result in reproduction of the species

    Homosexuality does not equal sodomy. Your ignorance and bigotry are showing again.

    and therefore, dna of members of the species engaging in homosexual behaviour would not have survived.

    Go look up kin selection. You don't have to reproduce if your presence helps your kin survive and pass on the same genes you carry.

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  72. The two men in Tale of Two Cities weren't related.

    And why do you even care about any of this anyways. Your life is meaningless. Your mere existence is an accident. When you die you will be completely dead. You don't have free will so even engaging in this discussion is quite silly. If I were you, instead of wasting your time arguing with a bunch of ignoramus like us, I would be out trying to propogate my dna. For what purpose I really don't know, but at least I would be following my instinct.

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  73. Ultimate Reality said...

    There would be no reason to hold on to a 2, 3, and 4 card unless you knew the next draw could result in the possible outcome of a straight!!


    So? My knowledge is part of the natural environment that affects selection. You say selection doesn't matter, so why do you care?

    Sure I will bet you. Then when we show our cards, I will just claim a 10, Jack, 3, 7, and Ace of different suits are a winning hand.

    Nope, no cheating allowed. We both play by the identical rules except I get to draw and discard. Selection and heritability are the only parameters we are testing so they're the only parameters that get varied. You say they don't matter, I say they do. Why won't you agree to that game?

    ReplyDelete
  74. By the way, while I appreciate your ideology, I was a police officer for 10 years and worked undercover in vice for 2 years. I never met anyone who claimed to be a homosexual that it didn't always wind up boililng down to their sexual behaviour. So your assertion that it isn't about sex defies ALL logic. Call it bigotry if you want to but the fact I stated is is based on science, not the brainwashing by the PC movement you have obviously succumbed to.

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  75. Thorton, what are you? About 19 years old? I'm 45. Son, I don't have the patience to argue with someone that hasn't yet embraced rational thinking. I will say it one more time just because I really want you to get this.

    "Nope, no cheating allowed. We both play by the identical rules except I get to draw and discard"

    Okay, I agree we will play to the same rules. You can draw and discard as many times as you want, but you aren't allowed to know what constitutes a winning hand until after you've done finished drawing and discarding. Fair enough?

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  76. Thorton said: "Go look up kin selection. You don't have to reproduce if your presence helps your kin survive and pass on the same genes you carry."

    Wait a second here. Do my kin have the homosexual gene too? How are they passing on the same gene if they aren't engaging in reproductive sex? Seriously.

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  77. Ultimate Reality said...

    The two men in Tale of Two Cities weren't related.


    Sure they were. They were both humans. Go look up altruistic behavior.

    And why do you even care about any of this anyways.

    I enjoy science and correcting dumb creationist claims.

    Your life is meaningless.

    LOL! Hardly.

    Your mere existence is an accident.

    Actually no, my folks were trying for me. My youngest sister however...

    When you die you will be completely dead.

    As we all will be.

    You don't have free will so even engaging in this discussion is quite silly.

    Then maybe I was predestined to point out creationist nonsense.

    If I were you, instead of wasting your time arguing with a bunch of ignoramus like us, I would be out trying to propogate my dna.

    Who says I haven't? ;)

    ReplyDelete
  78. Ultimate Reality said...

    Okay, I agree we will play to the same rules. You can draw and discard as many times as you want, but you aren't allowed to know what constitutes a winning hand until after you've done finished drawing and discarding. Fair enough?


    Nope. We both play by the identical standard rules of poker except I get to draw and discard. That's the only variable.

    You still claim that selection and heritability give me no advantage?

    ReplyDelete
  79. Ultimate Reality said...

    Thorton said: "Go look up kin selection. You don't have to reproduce if your presence helps your kin survive and pass on the same genes you carry."

    Wait a second here. Do my kin have the homosexual gene too? How are they passing on the same gene if they aren't engaging in reproductive sex? Seriously.


    Studies have shown that are many factors which affect a person's sexual orientation - environmental factors such as hormone imbalances in the mother's womb, birth order, etc. All the evidence shows there is also a small but non-negligible heritable genetic component to same-sex attraction. The genes don't "cause" same-sex attraction per se but may make one more susceptible to the other environmental factors. Go look up recessive genes to understand how traits don't have to be expressed in every individual to be passed genetically.

    No one consciously chooses their sexual orientation any more than they choose to be right or left handed.

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  80. You still claim that selection and heritability give me no advantage?

    I guess I am failing to communicate. If a straight is the FUNCTIONAL trait, it won't be FUNCTIONAL unit it is fully developed. When we encouter one of the steps to get to the fully functional trait, the straight, such as three consecutive cards, how would you know which cards to discard???? NS can't decide to keep part of the straight because the straight hasn't fully developed yet for the NS to determine it is functional and keep it around prior to it existing as a full straight. A partial straight wins you nothing. Now do you get it?

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  81. gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat spewed:

    "Just ask yourself, where you got the intelligence from that enabled you to post snide comments here, and why you did not have to struggle with random walks across vast config spaces to do it."

    Are you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, saying that Thorton (or anyone else) was born with the knowledge of how to post comments here?

    "If your point was "who designed the designer," that is a red herring, as we can know that your post, though full of malice, is an intelligent artifact from its dFSCI."

    No, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, you're the one tossing out red herrings, and a lot of other irrelevant nonsense, and you're evading Thorton's actual question.

    Regardless of whether there's so-called "dFSCI" in Thorton's post or not, your bald assertions about your necessary being designer god, and fine tuning, etc., are non-evidential and unsupported. There's a lot more to science than trying to sound sciency.

    "As for your goldfish, it is plainly well beyond 100 mn bits of info, from its DNA. (The smallest known vertebrate genome is 385 million bases, a puffer fish.) That is of course orders of magnitude beyond the 1000 bits threshold, and indicates that the Goldfish's body plan [i.e. the Carp's body plan] is best explained as designed."

    You, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, sure do try hard to make it sound as though your "1000 bits threshold" (or 500 or whatever other number you pull out of some orifice) is some sort of scientifically established and accepted standard that somehow proves that your imaginary god designed and created the universe and everything in it. Trouble is, you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, haven't established any such thing.

    "You know as well as I that if a goldfish has descendants, its functional organisation and associated information are passed on to the next generation. Its own body, after death, obviously, becomes functionally disorganised through the normal processes of decay, which are strongly linked to entropy."

    So, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, when are you going to answer Thorton's question and actually calculate the alleged "dFSCO/I" in a goldfish, and when are you going to answer his other questions:

    "Does the dFSCO/I of the goldfish change when it dies? If so, where does the dFSCO/I go?"

    By the way, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, are you saying that when a goldfish mates with another goldfish and passes on its "functional organisation and associated information" ("dFSCO/I"), that it no longer has any "dFSCO/I" of its own anymore? If so, how does it function and even mate with other goldfish? And if you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, are not claiming that, then why does the goldfish eventually die if it still has "functional organisation and associated information" ("dFSCO/I") as allegedly designed and installed in it by your allegedly perfect, omnipotent, omniscient, necessary being designer/creator god? After all, if your chosen designer god (YHWH) is perfect, and is endowed with all power and all knowledge, then why does anything ever die and why does anything even have to mate to pass on its "dFSCO/I"? Why can't (or doesn't) your chosen designer god just poof new organisms into existence or at least set it up so that new, perfect organisms are just poofed into existence automatically, even when your chosen designer god is busy impregnating married virgins, or is busy ruthlessly wiping out vast amounts of people, animals, plants, etc., because it is mad at its own creations?

    See part two.

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  82. Thorton: "Studies have shown that are many factors which affect a person's sexual orientation - environmental factors such as hormone imbalances in the mother's womb, birth order, etc. All the evidence shows there is also a small but non-negligible heritable genetic component to same-sex attraction. The genes don't "cause" same-sex attraction per se but may make one more susceptible to the other environmental factors. Go look up recessive genes to understand how traits don't have to be expressed in every individual to be passed genetically.

    No one consciously chooses their sexual orientation any more than they choose to be right or left handed."

    Wait a second. You are saying two different things. Which is it? Wouldn't hormonal imbalances and birth order be genetically influenced too? Or are these mistakes, i.e., negative things.

    Actually, most REAL studies show a high incidence of the child being molested by a man before he goes on to exhibit same sex attraction. You libs can't have it both ways. Either it is nature or nurture, inherited or behavioural. Choose one.

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  83. Part two.

    I see that you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, brought up "entropy" as though you actually know anything about it. Tell you what, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, why don't you go over to Panda's Thumb and try to baffle the scientists there. Here's a thread where you can try to show how brilliant you are:

    http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2011/11/granville-sewel-1.html

    You're not afraid to face them, are you, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat?


    Stay tuned, gordon elliott mullings of Montserrat, I'm not done with you. :)

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  84. The whole truth, the source of your rage appears to be with the Judeo-Christian belief that the God of the Old Testament and the Designer are one in the same. Let's assume that the Designer is an Alien Being who exists outside of space, matter, time and energy. Now you can put away whatever oppression you feel you have suffered at the hands of Christianity, dispose of your RAGE, HATRED, and ANGER, and start addressing some of the arguments presented in this post like a rational human being instead of just making attacks.

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  85. No UR, you are not getting it.

    In the analogy the value of the hand represents the evolutionary fitness of the popula